Wednesday, May 25, 2016
The
Status Is Longer Quo: What It’s All About and Where It’s All Headed?
A physician friend asked what to expect in the near future.
I said, ”The status is no longer quo.”
”What does that mean,” he replied , where are we headed, and
where does that leave me?”
It means the
information age has turned the world of politics and the world of health care
upside down and downside up.
Uprooted
Political Establishment
It means the traditional political establishment , which has
shaped health care policy in the past,
is being uprooted. No matter who
gets elected, it is likely that the individual and employer mandates will soon
be gone and that electronic health records and physician payment policies will be
altered.
It is now apparent that ObamaCare doesn’t lower costs, limits choice, and makes premiums,
deductibles, and co-pays unaffordable for most of the unsubsidized middle class. The middle class is mad as hell and may turn
out in droves to do something about their economic plight and about perceived
political corruption at high levels of government.
It means things are in flux.
It means things will never be the same again.
On the
Social Scene
On the social scene,
it means minorities and elites are threatening to become the majority. It means blacks, thanks to a black president,
will continue to vote as a solid
block. It means white male workers will also vote en mass the other wwyal It means concern for the future exceeds
nostalgia for the past.
It means a resurgence
in national pride, middle class angst,
and the silent majority. It means more
social unrest, with increases in crime
and declines in morality. It means
anger among workers who have been
displaced by the global economy and the information technology revolution. It means a realignment of our culture, with
more emphasis on identity politics, whether you’re black, white, Hispanic,
Oriental, Islamic, mixed, homosexual, female, white male, or veteran.
On the
Medical Scene
On the medical scene,
it means a clash between data algorithms and human rhythms and desires. It means
the emergence of possible ObamaCare alternatives, such as market-based competitive care backed
by Republicans. And, at the same time, it
means a call for possible universal care as
advocated by Bernie Sanders and the
millenials. It means young physicians,
in search of economic security and a balanced life style, will go for hospital employment or higher paid specialties .
It means widespread primary care shortages,
and public unrest as growing numbers of physicians , facing federal budget
cuts, unacceptable payment schemes, government interventions in patient
relationships, tell prospective
patients, “Sorry, we don’t take
Medicare, Medicaid, or ObamaCare. It
means significant numbers of physicians will opt for direct cash practices outside the reach of 3rd parties
to escape hassle factors.
It means two
simultaneous movements are occurring , more hospital and big group
consolidation, and more care outside of
hospitals in more private, personal , focused care, and concierge settings.
It means more home care, more IT monitoring of chronically ill patients
in their homes, and more home care visits. It means significant
numbers of patients will delay physician visits, seek alternative medical options, treat themselves, or not take medications
are prescribed. Care will be
delayed, symptoms and illnesses will be
neglected, and care, when required, will
be more expensive.
On the positive side,
it may mean people will concentrate more on prevention, seek to stay fit, monitor their fitness with electronic devices, eat the proper foods, maintain a normal weigh,
smoke less, and avoid excessive alcohol consumption and addictive
drug an pot use. And at the federal level, it may mean medical scientists at the National Institutes of Health, though genetic manipulation and immunotherapy, will finally find effective ways to combat and cure multiple types of cancers.
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