Peter Drucker (1909-2005), The Age of Discontinuity, 1969
Thursday, June 12, 2014
Health
Care Organizations Versus Individual
Doctor
Every single social task of major impact . . .
is increasingly entrusted to institutions which are organized for perpetuity
and which are managed by professionals, whether they are called ‘managers,’ ‘administrators,’
or ‘executives.'
Peter Drucker (1909-2005), The Age of Discontinuity, 1969
Peter Drucker (1909-2005), The Age of Discontinuity, 1969
We live in a society of organizations where knowledge,
amplified and concentrated by computers, is king. Organizations with the capital and skill to
organize physicians into teams to take
advantage of and to apply knowledge will prevail over individual practices.
As much as it hurts me to say this, organizational dominance
is the reality, or as Peter F. Drucker
described as a “discontinuity” (The Age of Discontinuity, 1968-1969).
In his book, he described four major discontinuities; 1) genuinely new technologies, i.e the
computer; 2) major change in the world
economy, i.e., one global shopping center; 3) every social task entrusted to
institutions organized for perpetuity and run by managers; 4) knowledge as the
central capital, the cost center, and crucial resource of the economy.
These discontinuities, whether physicians accept them or not,
has contributed to the decline of small independent practices.
Still, there has been a resurgence of these practices with
the evolution of concierge/direct pay movement,
but these practices may have a minor impact without some centralized
source of capital and organizational strategy.
Organizations like MD/VIP has taken a stab at creating an
organization to implement this strategy, and others like the American
Association of Physicians and Surgeons are holding national meetings to promote
ways and means of developing these independent practices. As more of these practices become
evident, and as direct pay ambulatory
care centers kick in, hospitals may
adopt networks of direct pay practices
and invest in direct pay ambulatory surgical centers.
There is no question that new organizations with new business models with enough capital
and entrepreneurial management are in
the horizon. To date, government-backed business models such as
Accountable Care Organizations and
Health Insurance Cooperatives are off to a rough start (see Henry Aaron, “Here to Stay – Beyond the Rough
Launch of the ACA,” NEJM, June 12, 2014; and Louis Radnofsky, “Mixed Bag for Health
Co-Ops): WSJ, June 12, 2014).
At the same time,
there is little doubt if Republicans win the Senate, a 80% possibility according to odds makers,
“Republicans can be expected to advance targeted proposals to eliminate the
ACA’s most unpopular and unworkable aspects and substitute market-based
alternatives. Such proposals will
embrace the possibility of a more decentralized, less regulatory, and more consumer-driven
model of health care.” See Joseph Antos, “Health Reform after the ACA,” NEJM,
June 12, 2012.
The defeat of Republican House leader, Eric Cantor, in
Virginia, largely because he spent too much time in D.C. and too little time in
his district, signals the end for many Washington-based incumbents
.
His successor, David Brat, an economics professor, is very much a Free Market advocate. His election victory may foretell of a
return to free-market principles and a rejection of government health care regulations and controls.
If this proves to be true,
direct pay care by physicians and
their organizations, may gain
traction. The main impact so far of ObamacCare health exchanges has been to raise premiums and deductibles to
unaffordable levels, which has opened the flood gates to more affordable direct
pay practices.
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