Public Opposes What Obamacare Proposes By Significant Margins

What the President proposes, the Public opposes.

Anonymous

June 25, 2012 -  As we all anxiously await the Supreme Court ruling on Obamacare,  it is important to keep in mind three sets of facts or circumstances.

One,  the latest average of national pollls indicates  the public favors repeal of Obamacare (data from Real Clear Politics).

Polling Data

Poll	Date	Sample	For/Favor	Against/Oppose	Spread
RCP Average	4/5 - 6/18	--	38.6	49.4	Against/Oppose +10.8
Associated Press/GfK	6/14 - 6/18	1007 A	33	47	Against/Oppose +14
Rasmussen Reports*	6/9 - 6/10	1000 LV	39	53	Against/Oppose +14
Reuters/Ipsos	6/7 - 6/11	1099 A	45	44	For/Favor +1
CBS News/NY Times	5/31 - 6/3	976 A	34	48	Against/Oppose +14
CNN/Opinion Research	5/29 - 5/31	1009 A	43	51	Against/Oppose +8
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl	4/13 - 4/17	1000 A	36	45	Against/Oppose +9
Quinnipiac*	4/11 - 4/17	2577 RV	38	51	Against/Oppose +13
FOX News	4/9 - 4/11	910 RV	40	53	Against/Oppose +13
ABC News/Wash Post	4/5 - 4/8	1003 A	39	53	Against/Oppose +14

Two, although the health law will cover an estimated 56 million uninsured and underinsured in 2014,   at present (2012) it  covers a much smaller number of Americans.

·         3.1 million young adults now covered up to age 26 under their parents’ plans. 

·         651. 000 Americans with pre-existing illness  who have been denied coverage by the four major insurers over the last 3 years (and possibly  a million or so more if one includes all insurers ( insurers now accept 9 of 10 with pre-existing illness albeit at high rates). 

·         1.2 million seniors falling into the donut hole  who now receive 50% discounts on drugs)

Three,  There are four possible scenarios of Supreme Court ruling, now expected on Thursday, June 28.  These scenarios will effect different Americans in different states in different ways.

1. The entire law is upheld.

2. The insurance mandate is struck down, but the entire rest of the law stays.

3. The manadate and two related provisions are struck down, but the rest of the law stayes.

4. The entire law is struck down.

Tweet:   The public  opposes Obamacare by  a large margin (10.8%), but the law so far directly effects only about 6 million Americans.