Thursday, January 12, 2017
Future Ins and Outs
I have been reading, watching, and listening to progressive deep thinkers, heavy social breathers, and alarmed liberal hysterics.
Collectively, they seem to think the end of the earth may not be near, but you can see it after the Trump election.
These critics believe sun, wind, tide, and bio-based sources of energy are in, and fossil fuels, fracking, an drilling for oil are out. Globalization is in, and nationalism are out. Collaboration across the social spectrum is in, and individualism and entrepreneuralism and taking advantage of economic opportunities is out. Waste is in and recycling is out.
According to these critics, Trump and his followers believe(Peter Senge, The Necessary Solution: How Individuals and Organizations Working Together to Create a Sustainable e World, Trump et all have these unsustainable beliefs.
· Energy is infinite and cheap.
· There will always be enough room to dispose of our waste.
· Humans can’t possibly alter the global environment. Weather patterns will remain stable no matter how we act.
· Basic resources such as water and topsoil are unlimited. If limits or problems are encountered, markets and new technologies will reallocate financial resources so we can continues with our current ways of living and working.
· Productivity and standardization are keys to economic progress.
· Economic growth and rising GDP are the best way to “lift all boats and reduce social inequities.
Another deep thinker, Thomas Friedman, of the New York Times, says larger forces - Moore’s Law (microchips will double in efficiency every 2 years), globalization (interconnections and interdependence secondary to the Internet), an Mother Nature (climate change and biodiversity loss) are accelerating and will either save us or destroy us. He says since 2007 we have been changing fast because of Iphones, advances in silicon chips, software, sensors, and networking, and these forces are transforming society irreversibly.
In health care, critics maintain, only collaboration between government and NGOs (nongovernment organizations) will save us from our follies/ The solution will require collaboration in the form of accountable care organizations, medical homes, integrated health organizations, bundled pricing, and measures of improvement tied to physician and hospital reimbursements, and universal care. Universality in care will lead inevitably to learning organizations, and the use of artificial intelligence4 and elegant algorithms that will supplement and supplant clinician experience and intuition and interpretations. For example, artificial intelligence and algorithms will replace interpretation s of radiologists and pathologists to interpret images on ex-rays and slides.
All will be well and better in health care if we oly listen and heed the Big Thinkers. aim for universal coverage, erase social injustices, achieve standardized outcomes, and collaborate across all health care spectrums.
If other words, if only we defy human nature and level all playing fields, we will have harmonious outcomes.